Nowestern St
W-L: (17-14) PR = 93.2432Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 46-** 1106 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 55-42 1109 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 60-75 1121 A ARKBA **-52 1124 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 48-69 1125 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 68-77 1207 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 69-52 1215 A McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 65-58 1217 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 38-96 1221 A Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 60-57 1231 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 71-76 103 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 50-46 108 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 55-61 110 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 65-49 115 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 67-57 117 H Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 53-66 122 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 63-70 129 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 57-47 131 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 78-61 205 H Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 45-54 207 H Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 52-61 212 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 59-64 214 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 62-47 216 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 60-51 219 H Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 65-71 221 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 70-64 226 A UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 64-59 228 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 63-35 303 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 81-65 309 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 69-56 310 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 67-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Nebraska 46-** -57 -3 0.00
1106 A Wichita St 55-42 13 0 1.73
1109 H Kansas 60-75 -15 -3 0.00
1124 H Virginia 48-69 -21 -3 0.00
1125 H PFW 68-77 -9 -1 -1.18
1207 A Soea LA 69-52 17 2 0.11
1215 A McNeese 65-58 7 -2 + 3.88
1217 H Texas 38-96 -58 -6 0.00
1221 A Lamar 60-57 3 0 + 2.44
1231 H SF Austin 71-76 -5 -1 -1.33
103 A Nicholls 50-46 4 1 1.40
108 H UTRGV 55-61 -6 0 -1.64
110 A TX A&M-CC 65-49 16 2 0.30
115 A Houston Chr 67-57 10 2 0.50
117 H Incarn Word 53-66 -13 1 - -2.68
122 H SF Austin 63-70 -7 -1 -1.33
129 A Nicholls 57-47 10 1 1.40
131 A New Orleans 78-61 17 2 0.00
205 H Lamar 45-54 -9 0 -1.58
207 H Ea Texas A&M 52-61 -9 1 - -2.96
212 H McNeese 59-64 -5 -2 -0.14
214 A Soea LA 62-47 15 2 0.11
216 A Ea Texas A&M 60-51 9 1 1.06
219 H Incarn Word 65-71 -6 1 - -2.68
221 A Houston Chr 70-64 6 2 0.50
226 A UTRGV 64-59 5 0 + 2.38
228 A TX A&M-CC 63-35 28 2 0.30
303 A New Orleans 81-65 16 2 0.00
309 A Ea Texas A&M 69-56 13 1 1.06
310 H UTRGV 67-76 -9 0 -1.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H Incarn Word 53-66 -13 1 - -2.68 207 H Ea Texas A&M 52-61 -9 1 - -2.96 219 H Incarn Word 65-71 -6 1 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1215 A McNeese 65-58 7 -2 + 3.88 1221 A Lamar 60-57 3 0 + 2.44 226 A UTRGV 64-59 5 0 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 46-** -3.55 7.41 -0.01 1.01 -1.80
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 55-42 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 60-75 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.01 -1.96
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 48-69 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 1.01 -1.91
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 68-77 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.01 -2.95
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 69-52 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.01 4.87
3 A McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 65-58 -4.79 6.17 0.01 1.01 12.51
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 38-96 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 1.01 -0.41
3 A Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 60-57 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.01 9.59
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 71-76 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.03
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 50-46 -7.27 3.69 0.01 1.01 7.49
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 55-61 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 1.01 -3.18
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 65-49 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.01 5.27
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 67-57 -8.17 2.79 0.01 1.01 5.66
3 H Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 53-66 -7.32 3.64 -0.01 1.01 -3.71
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 63-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.03
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 57-47 -7.27 3.69 0.01 1.01 7.49
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 78-61 -8.97 1.99 0.01 1.01 4.05
3 H Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 45-54 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.01 -3.16
3 H Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 52-61 -7.61 3.35 -0.01 1.01 -3.85
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 59-64 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 1.01 -2.43
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 62-47 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.01 4.87
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 60-51 -7.61 3.35 0.01 1.01 6.80
3 H Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 65-71 -7.32 3.64 -0.01 1.01 -3.71
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 70-64 -8.17 2.79 0.01 1.01 5.66
3 A UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 64-59 -6.29 4.67 0.01 1.01 9.48
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 63-35 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.01 5.27
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 81-65 -8.97 1.99 0.01 1.01 4.05
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 69-56 -7.61 3.35 0.01 1.01 6.80
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 67-76 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 1.01 -3.18
------
69.72
|
winning pts = 108.0277 losing points = -38.3111
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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